Iraq
war-To Veto or Not to Veto?
by Josh Rugema
Early
this week as the US, Britain and Spain pushed a new UN Security
Council resolution that would give Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's
government an ultimataum to fully disarm by March 17 or face war,
France and Russia said they would veto it should it pass.
Western media commentators are horrified that France should even
contemplate vetoing the US-Britain backed resolution. They told
us, almost hysterically, that it would be a serious blow to the
Western alliance.
Therefore,
some concluded, France's threat was just brinkmanship to put pressure
on the US and that it would back down at the last minute.
The
US and Britain knew better and postponed a call for the vote.
UN vetoes are not a big deal. They are very common. The attempt
to make a likely French veto look unprecedented is perhaps part
of the ongoing propaganda war over Iraq.
However,
those with a sense of history will want to separate the facts
from the propaganda chaff.
Secondly,
it is critical to understand the arguments of those who say a
French-Russian veto and an American attack on Iraq despite it
would spell an end to the post-World War international order.
Since
1958, some 250 vetoes have been cast in the Security Council.
Russia (as the nub of the Soviet Union) has flexed its veto muscle
the most, 120 times. The US is bbsecond with 76 vetoes.
The
US has been the solo voice blocking UN Security Council resolutions
the most, 53 times. Many countries criticise it for "unreasonable
bias" in favour of Israel.
Since
1948, there have been 58 resolutions that deal with the Palestine-Israel
issue.
The
US has vetoed 24 resolutions on Palestine that were critical of
Israel.
While
many people think the veto is an anachronism that has been mostly
abused by the Permanent members of the Security Council, it has
been a valuable tool with all its imperfections because the world
simply didn't have a better tool.
Because
it worked on the principle that it was better to have both the
good and the bad guys inside the house throwing the stones out
than leaving them outside to throw stones inwards, it ensured
that no action that a nuclear power didn't like was enforced.
It thus avoided a major global conflict.
If
the world had pressed on 120 times with actions that Moscow had
vetoed, or gone ahead on 76 times to enforce something the US
had vetoed, we would probably have had another conflict equivalent
to World War in the second half of the 20th century.
On
the brighter side, though unfair, the system provided a certain
amount of predictability. However, if the US were to proceed to
attack Iraq after a war resolution had been vetoed, it would make
all its previous vetoes illegitimate.
It
couldn't turn around to require UN members to respect its vetoes
on resolutions against Israel. And in future, a UN vote would
count for nothing.
And
the US and Britain could not credibly persist at the same time
with accusing Saddam of ignoring the numerous Security Councils
resolutions calling on him to disarm.
All
Saddam would have to do is say, just like the US, is that he doesn't
have to respect these resolutions because they are not in his
country's interest.
The
complexity of the international crisis growing from the stand-off
with Iraq is demonstrated by the fact that, even pacifists and
those who support war but think it's wrong in this instance, cannot
merely go to bed happy that they have done the right thing by
opposing actions that might kill thousands of ordinary Iraqis
and leave many more homeless.
For
example, France and its allies must ask themselves if preventing
an attack against Iraq is so important that the US and Britain
have to be pushed into a corner where they must go to war despite
a veto of their latest resolution and wreck the only international
mechanism for restraining potentially dangerous actions by states.
British
Prime Minister Tony Blair has tried to make a moral case for the
overthrow of Saddam. The new Blair doctrine is that if a country
feels it has a moral case to go to war, then it should do so even
if the majority of the world doesn't agree with it and the UN
has not, by its rules, sanctioned it.
One
example of that is apartheid South Africa. The US and Britain
blocked over 12 UN resolutions against apartheid South Africa.
These vetoes and the near-powerlessness of Africans to change
the views of official Washington and London, which favoured minority
rule in South Africa, were very painful.
To
add insult to injury, though the South African regime was immoral,
for many decades it had the diplomatic leverage that the anti-apartheid
forces did not. And it was militarily stronger than those who
had the superior moral argument.
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